OliveTerm: Olive Oil Prices, News & Market Intelligence
- Tunisia 2026/27 olive oil crop forecastTunisia · Crop estimate · HighExpected: Sector estimates 200–300 kt, official figure pending
- European Commission short-term outlook, autumn editionEuropean Union · Market data · MediumExpected: First autumn 2026/27 EU balance
- Marketing standard 2026/27: approval deadlineSpain · Regulation · HighExpected: Order in force
Retail shelf prices
What a litre of extra virgin costs at supermarkets, by country
OLIVETERMWho Will Take Over Europe's Olive Groves?
EU farm managers averaged 57 in 2020 and fewer than 12% of farms were run by people under 40. As olive growers retire, keeping the trees in production means passing on a business the next generation can afford to run, not only the land.
OLIVETERMCan Cheap Olive Oil Build a Stronger Industry?
Cheaper olive oil can win back consumers and force efficiency. Petroleum and wine show why neither builds a stronger industry unless it can finance its future.
OLIVETERMIs Olive Oil Becoming Too Good for Quality to Be Enough?
As more producers master early harvest, prompt milling and careful storage, excellent extra virgin olive oil is becoming common. Why quality alone may no longer win the buyer.
OLIVETERMOlive Oil's Premium Over Sunflower Oil Is Back Near Pre-Crisis Levels
Spanish extra virgin now costs 2.39 times crude sunflower oil, close to its 2021 level. Why the gap narrowed, what it means for buyers and producers, and what could widen it again.
OliveTerm Pro
Understand the olive oil market.
Olive oil price outlooks and premium market reports from our research desk, with a personalised workspace to organise the market data.
- Olive Oil Price Outlook
- Our view on where olive oil prices could go next, the scenarios that matter and what could change them.
- Premium Reports & Insights
- In-depth analysis of production, demand, stocks and trade, with monthly reports and exclusive articles.
- Pro Workspace
- A personalised workspace that arranges the market data your way, with price alerts and the industry community.
7-day free trial, then €10 a month or €100 a year · founder price, regularly €20 and €200
Market Outlook
Members
- Coverage
- Spain Extra Virgin Olive Oil
- Horizons
- 90 days and 12 months
- Scenarios
- Downside risk, Base case, Upside alternative
- Watching
- 8 market drivers, 6 releases ahead
- Updates
- Revised 15 Oct 2026, 4 dated updates
The current direction and price ranges are for members.
LATEST
News and analysis from the OliveTerm desk
- Week Ahead
Week Ahead: What to watch as Spain's storage deadline approaches
Published 3h ago - Analysis
Is Olive Oil Becoming Too Dependent on Too Few Varieties?
Published 2d ago - Market Wrap
Spanish lampante falls to 2.80€/kg as storage rules remain pending
Published 2d ago - Midweek
Greek new oil trades lower as Spain presses for storage
Published 4d ago - Analysis
Who Will Take Over Europe's Olive Groves?
Published 5d ago - AnalysisPremium
Can Cheap Olive Oil Build a Stronger Industry?
Published 6d ago - Week Ahead
New oil tests a quiet market
Published 6d ago - Market Wrap
Spanish sales recover as mills halt in northern Puglia
Published 16 Oct 2026
OLIVE OIL CALENDAR
Full calendar →Upcoming market catalysts and industry events.
- Tunisia 2026/27 olive oil crop forecastTunisia · Crop estimate · HighExpected: Sector estimates 200–300 kt, official figure pending
- Ercole Olivario 2026, table olives: entries closePerugia · DeadlineSubmissions close.
- NYIOOC 2026: Southern Hemisphere resultsNew York · CompetitionNYIOOC World Olive Oil Competition
- EIMA International 2026Bologna · Trade fairBolognaFiere
- IOC 124th Plenary SessionMorocco / global · Conference · MediumExpected: 2026/27 world balance
WHAT WE'RE WATCHING
Market Outlook →- Mill yields
- How much oil the big crop gives
- Withdrawal
- Whether any oil is held back
- Price
- Spanish EVOO as the harvest starts
- 3.25€/kg
From the Market Outlook, part of OliveTerm Pro: the desk's view, its scenarios and every dated revision.
