Premium research and tools for the olive oil sector.
Read premium market reports, follow the evolving Market Outlook and work with olive oil prices, crop monitoring and industry discussions in your own customisable terminal.
Research on production, demand, stocks, trade and prices
Each month the OliveTerm research desk publishes a market report on the olive oil sector: origin prices by grade, the crop and its estimates, stocks and sales, trade flows and the regulation that moves them, and the desk's reading of the months ahead. Every figure is taken from a named source.
Market Report
2026
August
July's base case is playing out almost to the letter.
July's base case is playing out almost to the letter. After giving back a fifth of its value in three months, Spanish origin has spent four weeks carving a floor in the mid-€340s to €350s, not because buyers came back but because sellers stopped chasing. August's loudest story, the fires, turns out to be the wrong supply story: the drought is the real one. The regulators arrived on both sides of the Atlantic, the market's next appointment is 2 October, and, provided the crop lands in the central band, we see a modest firming toward €370–390/100 kg into the new year.
In this report
01Around the Mediterranean
02The fires and the fields
03The regulators arrive
04How it plays out
Read the sample reportOpen to every reader, so you can judge the research before you subscribe.
The floor appears. OliveTerm Spanish EVOO index, €/100 kg, March–August 2026. Data: OliveTerm price index, to 17 Aug 2026. From the August 2026 Market Report.
Published monthly
The archive holds 6 reports, from March 2026 to September 2026; no report was published for June 2026. Each one is dated and kept as it was published.
Reports read in the browser, with their charts, tables and sources, on a phone as well as a desktop. A PDF edition is not available yet. How OliveTerm checks and corrects its figures is set out in the editorial standards and the price methodology.
02·Market Outlook
The desk's view, revised as the market moves
A report is the record of a month. The Market Outlook is the standing view between reports: the desk's 90-day call on the market, the drivers behind it, three conditional scenarios and the releases that could change it. When the evidence crosses a line the desk has drawn, the view is revised, and the revision is dated and explained.
Spain Extra Virgin Olive Oil · 90-day view
Lower through the harvest
The aforo came in above the desk's line and the summer floor has broken. Until the withdrawal decision, the weight sits with sellers.
Direction
▼ Downward
Confidence
Medium
Base case
3.05–3.30€/kg
Reviewed
9 Oct 2026
OliveTerm research desk · Andalusia bulk at origin, ≤0.8° acidity
Selected drivers
▼ DownwardThe aforo came in above the line the desk drewImpact: High
▲ UpwardSupply clears the withdrawal thresholdImpact: High
The full Outlook gives every driver with its figure, its points and its source.
Three conditional scenarios
Base case3.05–3.30€/kg
Upside case3.35–3.60€/kg
Downside case2.80–3.05€/kg
Each case sets out what would have to happen for the price to end the 90 days in its band, with the weight the desk gives it, its assumptions and its triggers.
Every revision, dated
Lowered: Stable to Downward
Reviewed: Stable kept
Coverage initiated: Stable
Members follow the view as it changes: each revision is kept, with its reasons and the price on the day, in the Outlook's history and in the terminal's Market Outlook widget.
Coverage. The written Outlook covers Spain Extra Virgin Olive Oil, priced as Andalusia bulk at origin, ≤0.8° acidity. Spain Virgin, Spain Lampante, Portugal Extra Virgin, Italy Extra Virgin and Greece Extra Virgin are quoted on the price board, without a written view yet.
How to read it. The direction, the scenarios and their weights are the desk's judgement on the figures it cites, conditional on the drivers it names. They are not a price prediction and not investment advice.
The terminal puts the figures on one screen that you arrange: open any tool from the search, move and resize it, and keep the layout. It opens on your saved workspace every time, in this browser and, signed in, on your account.
It is also where members trade olive oil on the Trade Board and talk with the rest of the sector in the Community.
The Trade Board
Offers and requests for olive oil, and for services and equipment, posted by people in the sector. Trade oil, and reach the company behind a listing through its profile.
Oil offers and requests · Services · Equipment
The Community
Discussions with professionals across the olive oil sector on markets and prices, groves and mills, and business and trade, with each member's profile.
Origin prices for olive, pomace and seed oils, each marked reported or estimated with its date, and charts that set a price against its history or lay one campaign over another.
World production and consumption by campaign, production and stocks by country, monthly trade from Eurostat, and the input costs behind a litre of oil.
Balance · Trade monitor · Cost per litre · Fertilisers
Crop Monitor
Growing conditions for 23 olive regions in Spain, Portugal, Italy and Greece, computed daily from weather data and read against a 2019–2024 baseline.
Map and table · Campaign scorecard · Region history
Membership
One membership, everything included
Premium ReportsThe monthly report and the whole archive, read in the browser.
Market OutlookThe desk's 90-day view, its drivers and scenarios, and every dated revision.
Premium insightsThe long-form analysis marked Premium, read in full.
TerminalAccess to the Trade Board to trade olive oil, the Community's discussions and contact with professionals across the sector, with every price series, chart and data tool in your own workspace.
Written for the olive oil industry: producers, mills, cooperatives, traders, bottlers, importers and retailers, anyone whose business depends on knowing where prices are and where they are heading.
Not ready to join? A free account reads the samples: the public price board, the price chart, the news, the calendar and the Community in the terminal, and the opening of every monthly report and premium insight, with the sample report in full.
Founder prices
Monthly€10a monthRegular price €20 a month
Annual€100a yearRegular price €200 a year
Founder prices. Prices will rise as new features arrive; members who join now keep the price they joined at for as long as their membership runs.
Free trial
7 days, full access. A card is needed to start it. Cancel before the trial ends and nothing is charged; otherwise the first payment is taken when the trial ends. One trial per account.
Renewal
The membership renews automatically every month or every year, at the price you joined at.
Cancellation
Cancel at any time from your account page. Access runs to the end of the period already paid and nothing more is charged.
Three connected components: the monthly Premium Reports and their archive; the Market Outlook, with its drivers, scenarios and dated revisions; and the terminal, with the Trade Board for trading olive oil, the Community's discussions with professionals across the sector, and the workspace for quotations, historical charts, production, consumption and stock data and the Crop Monitor.
How do Premium Reports and the Market Outlook differ?
A report is the record of a month: what moved the market, with its figures and sources, published once and kept in the archive. The Market Outlook is a standing view of the next 90 days that the desk revises whenever the evidence changes, with every revision dated and explained.
How often are reports published and the Outlook reviewed?
The report is monthly: the archive holds 6 reports, from March 2026 to September 2026, with no report for June 2026. The Outlook is reviewed when the market or a scheduled release gives a reason, not on a calendar: 3 dated entries since coverage began on 30 Jul 2026, the latest on 9 Oct 2026.
Which markets are covered?
The reports follow the olive oil market of Spain, Italy, Greece and Portugal and the trade between them and their buyers. The written Outlook covers Spain Extra Virgin Olive Oil today; Spain Virgin, Spain Lampante, Portugal Extra Virgin, Italy Extra Virgin and Greece Extra Virgin are quoted without a written view. The terminal quotes origin prices for Spain, Italy, Portugal, Greece and Tunisia, with pomace and seed oils, and its Crop Monitor follows 23 regions in Spain, Portugal, Italy and Greece.
Can reports be downloaded as PDFs?
Not yet. Reports are read in the browser, with their charts, tables and sources, on any screen. A PDF edition is not available at the moment.
Does the product work on mobile?
Yes. The reports and the Market Outlook read on any screen. On a phone the terminal has a layout of its own, with tabs for prices, the chart, news and the Community and every other tool in its search; arranging widgets side by side needs a larger screen.
What does a free account include?
A free account reads the samples: the public price board, the price chart, the news, the calendar and the Community in the terminal, and the opening of every monthly report and premium insight, with the sample report in full. Every other tool is listed in the terminal and opens with a membership. Nothing is charged and no card is asked for.
What happens during and after the trial?
The trial lasts 7 days with full access. A card is needed to start it. Cancel before the trial ends and nothing is charged; otherwise the first payment is taken when the trial ends. One trial per account.
How do renewal and cancellation work?
The membership renews automatically every month or every year, at the price you joined at. Cancel at any time from your account page. Access runs to the end of the period already paid and nothing more is charged.
Will the price change?
Founder prices. Prices will rise as new features arrive; members who join now keep the price they joined at for as long as their membership runs.
What happens if a payment fails?
Your access continues while Stripe tries the card again over the following days, and your account page asks you to update it. If the payment still cannot be taken, the membership ends and the account returns to the free samples; you can join again at any time.
OliveTerm Pro
The monthly reports, the Market Outlook and the terminal, in one membership.
