Weekly hydrological bulletin: Guadalquivir reserves
Source: MITECO, Boletín Hidrológico Semanal (published every Tuesday) · Checked 2026-08-05
- Expected outcome (as recorded)
- Continued drawdown
- Context
- Allocation cut
A Guadalquivir that keeps drawing down raises the odds of another allocation cut, which turns crop risk from probability into fact.
Upward if confirmed · the desk's reading
MITECO publishes reservoir storage every Tuesday for every peninsular reservoir above 5 hm³. For the olive market the line that matters is the Guadalquivir basin, which supplies the irrigated groves of Jaén, Córdoba and Seville.
Irrigation is what separates a poor crop from a failed one in a dry year. A basin that keeps drawing down through August and September raises the odds that allocations are cut again for the 2026/27 season, which would push the crop risk currently in the price from probability towards fact.
This is a weekly release, so the date below is simply the next bulletin.
- Date
- 2026-08-04 · Date announced by the publisher
- Category
- Weather
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